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It is a judgmental forecasting procedure in form of an anonymous, written, multi-stage survey process, where feedback of group opinion is provided after each round.
en.wikipedia.org
Despite an ability to replicate 20th century temperatures the computer models were untested against independent data, a prerequisite for validating a forecasting procedure.
www.theage.com.au
A typical measure of bias of forecasting procedure is the arithmetic mean or expected value of the forecast errors, but other measures of bias are possible.
en.wikipedia.org
To evaluate the quality of "n" -step-ahead forecasts, the forecasting procedure in the previous section is employed to obtain the predictions.
en.wikipedia.org

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